@conference {rekatsinas:sdm15, title = {SourceSeer: Forecasting Rare Disease Outbreaks Using Multiple Data Sources}, booktitle = {2015 SIAM International Conference on Data Mining (SDM15)}, year = {2015}, note = {Best Research Paper Award}, publisher = {SIAM}, organization = {SIAM}, author = {Rekatsinas, Theodoros and Ghosh, Saurav and Mekaru, Sumiko and Nsoesie, Elaine and Brownstein, John and Lise Getoor and Ramakrishnan, Naren} } @conference {ramakrishnan:kdd14, title = {{\textquoteleft}Beating the news{\textquoteright} with EMBERS: Forecasting Civil Unrest using Open Source Indicators}, booktitle = {ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining}, year = {2014}, abstract = {

We describe the design, implementation, and evaluation of EMBERS, an automated, 24x7 continuous system for forecasting civil unrest across 10 countries of Latin America using open source indicators such as tweets, news sources, blogs, economic indicators, and other data sources. Unlike retrospective studies, EMBERS has been making forecasts into the future since Nov 2012 which have been (and continue to be) evaluated by an independent T\&E team (MITRE). Of note, EMBERS has successfully forecast the uptick and downtick of incidents during the June 2013 protests in Brazil. We outline the system architecture of EMBERS, individual models that leverage specific data sources, and a fusion and suppression engine that supports trading off specific evaluation criteria. EMBERS also provides an audit trail interface that enables the investigation of why specific predictions were made along with the data utilized for forecasting. Through numerous evaluations, we demonstrate the superiority of EMBERS over baserate methods and its capability to forecast significant societal happenings.\ 

}, author = {Ramakrishnan, Naren and Butler, Patrick and Self, Nathan and Khandpur, Rupinder and Saraf, Parang and Wang, Wei and Cadena, Jose and Vullikanti, Anil and Korkmaz, Gizem and Kuhlman, Christopher and Marathe, Achla and Zhao, Liang and Ting, Hua and Huang, Bert and Srinivasan, Aravind and Trinh, Khoa and Lise Getoor and Katz, Graham and Doyle, Andy and Ackermann, Chris and Zavorin, Ilya and Ford, Jim and Summers, Kristin and Fayed, Youssef and Arredondo, Jaime and Gupta, Dipak and Mares, David} }